Childcare · London · data-driven ranking

Childcare opportunities in London

Ranked commercial opportunity by MSOA neighbourhood, built from Census 2021 demand, mapped competitor supply, DfT road traffic, NaPTAN public transport stops and OpenStreetMap POIs. 1002 neighbourhoods scored; top ranked area: Hounslow 018 (Hounslow).

Estimated activity proxy. People flow is modelled from traffic, transit and employment; it is not measured footfall. Competitor counts come from OpenStreetMap, which is community-maintained and may under-count. Confidence reflects both.

#	Area	Opportunity	Demand	Market gap	People flow (proxy)	Accessibility	Confidence
1	Hounslow 018 Hounslow	77	91	71	64	80	70
2	Hounslow 015 Hounslow	75	87	67	67	83	70
3	Barking and Dagenham 019 Barking and Dagenham	74	88	68	66	72	70
4	Sutton 012 Sutton	74	90	70	64	62	70
5	Hounslow 014 Hounslow	73	88	68	63	69	70
6	Waltham Forest 017 Waltham Forest	72	94	52	77	67	68
7	Bexley 008 Bexley	72	87	67	59	68	70
8	Barnet 032 Barnet	71	82	62	61	83	70
9	Croydon 022 Croydon	70	87	44	75	89	70
10	Redbridge 006 Redbridge	70	89	49	67	83	68
11	Croydon 034 Croydon	70	78	58	62	91	70
12	Tower Hamlets 031 Tower Hamlets	69	85	65	57	57	70
13	Wandsworth 035 Wandsworth	69	78	58	72	69	70
14	Hillingdon 028 Hillingdon	69	87	67	44	64	70
15	Havering 017 Havering	68	91	51	58	70	70
16	Hillingdon 027 Hillingdon	68	82	62	52	71	70
17	Hackney 025 Hackney	68	91	71	56	23	68
18	Greenwich 011 Greenwich	68	89	69	41	52	70
19	Lambeth 032 Lambeth	68	89	43	75	67	70
20	Greenwich 002 Greenwich	68	83	63	48	71	70

How this ranking is produced

Scores are deterministic 0–100 calculations: demand is a weighted percentile of population, age and employment indicators; market gap compares demand with competitor density in the right denominator; the people-flow proxy combines traffic, transport and employment; confidence discounts incomplete or dated data. Growth and affordability are omitted until their datasets are ingested. Data period: Census 2021, AADF 2025, NaPTAN 2026, OSM 2026.

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